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feat(EURUSD): deploy DailyBias config — cross-year validation then set file update #71

Description

@cfournel

Summary

EURUSD 20-test improvement sweep + 10-test combo sweep completed.

Winner: DailyBias alone — nothing else improves upon it.

Combo sweep results (2022–2026, full period)

Config PF Trades DD% vs Baseline
DailyBias alone 1.21 35 2.30 +0.35
DailyBias+Skip09 1.21 35 2.30 0.00
DailyBias+NoMonFri 1.09 19 1.56 -0.12
DailyBias+OB40 1.00 32 1.71 -0.21
OB40+Skip09 1.13 48 4.13 +0.27
Baseline (no DailyBias) 0.86 40 5.90 —

Key insights:

  • DailyBias dramatically reduces DD (5.90% → 2.30%) while improving PF
  • OB40 hurts when combined with DailyBias (cancels too many OBs)
  • NoMonFri kills trade volume (35→19) — too aggressive with DailyBias
  • Skip09 is redundant with DailyBias (DailyBias already avoids those entries)

Remaining tasks

  • Cross-year validate DailyBias on EURUSD (5 windows: 2022/2023/2024/2025/Full)
  • If 3+/5 years profitable + PF ≥ 1.1 overall → update OBInclude/SetFiles/eurusd.set
  • Update MQL5/Profiles/Charts/OB_Deploy/chart05.chr with EURUSD chart (magic 1234581)
  • Add EURUSD to crossyear_winners.csv and portfolio analysis

Cross-year validation script

python3 scripts/eurusd_crossyear.py
# Already queued in run_all_sweeps.sh Phase 4

Success criteria

PF ≥ 1.1 full period, 3+/5 years profitable (PF ≥ 1.0)

Activity

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